It has been quite that long time I never post anything to this blog. Simply because I was too busy with my other business that will earn me a good living. I put there WILL, only after I fully study and understand what I am doing.
The business I mean here is quite volatile but will earn you good return if you fully understand the market and what you are doing. For me it is the alternative business than the business I have pursue before. You might ask, what business I am in to? It is many have heard before and many have misuse and misrepresent it….FOREX. Or Foreign Currency Exchange trading.
Why I go to do this sort of business? Some of you might say it a very RISKY kind of investment. But for me any business posses and attract risk. Some of you might say, you can’t really predict what and where the market will go? Well for me in the business world, can you really predict what and where the business in Brunei will go? Some of you may say it’s a very volatile market in forex? Well for me, do you really think business in Brunei not that volatile when everybody in the business want some bit market share of the limited market size in Brunei?
For me everything is risky and if you are in the business right now, you can’t avoid risk. But you may minimize risk by managing the risk. Managing the risk for me is to understand the risk. In order to understand the risk, we need to study the risk and how the risk can affect our business. Then identify how we can overcome the risk and if all possible minimize the risk to the lowest possible margin.
Risk management and understanding the risk in the forex market is one of the formula to be successful in the forex trading business. Then come how you manage the money or so called Money Management. Without good proper money management you can easily blow your forex trading account in less than a week or even in a couple of day.
One forex trading expert ever mentioned to me, anybody and everybody can make money in forex, but not everybody can manage how not to lose money in forex trading. More than often over 90% of amateur individual forex trader failed due to lack of money management and lack good understanding of the risk involved in the forex trading.
This is true and I my self have experience it before. The first week of my forex trading I made handsome profit of over 230%. Day after day, I increase my trading volume hoping to chunk out the big profit without understanding the risk of increasing my trading volume. The bigger you trade, the bigger the risk…. and this is what I have ignored.
On the 9th day of my trading, the market reverse due to market breaking news. Mr Allen Greenspan, the former chairman of the US Federal Reserve appear in a news conference of the future of the US Money Supply. He made a controversial speech in saying there will be no longer cheap money. Once he says that, all the US Treasury Bonds rate immediately increase, Tokyo market shares tumbling down followed by the Asian market. Then it spreads worldwide like an epidemic. It also create a chain reaction in the forex market, where the US Dollar immediately gains its strength against all other major currencies.
At that time I was buying huge amount of British Pound Sterling against the US Dollar. Hoping to chunk another good profits for the day after a good week of trading. I was unaware of the Allen Greenspan speech where some professional forex trader stay out of the market and waiting what he may be saying. In less than one minute of his speech where he mention the phrase ‘No longer cheap money’ the forex market start what I called trend reversal. GBP or the Pound Sterling, immediately loose strength and take a sharp dive. This sharp dive took all my week long profit into huge losses, simply because I have traded more than previous day trading volume.
Due to my panic emotion, I immediately execute another trading hoping to recover my losses. Well do you think my immediate action recover my losses? Not at all. I execute wrongly as I was selling the GBP. I forget in less than 1 hour the Bank of England chariman, Mr Maverin King will announce about future interest rate hike decision for the GBP. After about 2 and half hours after that, the market change its direction where I only accumulate another losses.
Hard lesson learned for me. Know what you are doing, manage your risk and manage the money properly to limit the risk exposure. Today, I am not saying I am totally mastered the game. I am getting better each day as I learned along and honestly to say I am still learning the forex market.
It is true though, what one of the program I watched at CNBC says, forex trading is not about making money, it’s all about how not to lose money.
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